Overview

An introduction to government bonds, yield curves, and how they're used in financial markets

What Are Government Bonds?

Government bonds are debt securities issued by national governments to finance public spending. When you buy a government bond, you're lending money to the government in exchange for:

  • Regular interest payments (called coupons)

  • Return of principal at maturity

Government bonds are considered among the safest investments because they're backed by the full faith and credit of the issuing government.

Common Names by Country

Country
Bond Name
Currency

United States

Treasuries (T-Bills, T-Notes, T-Bonds)

USD

United Kingdom

Gilts

GBP

Germany

Bunds

EUR

France

OATs

EUR

Japan

JGBs (Japanese Government Bonds)

JPY

Australia

AGBs (Australian Government Bonds)

AUD


What Is a Bond Yield?

A bond's yield represents the return an investor receives for holding the bond. There are several types of yields:

Coupon Rate vs Yield

Term
Definition

Coupon Rate

The fixed interest rate paid annually (set at issuance)

Current Yield

Annual coupon ÷ Current market price

Yield to Maturity (YTM)

Total return if held to maturity, accounting for price, coupon, and time

Example: A bond with a 3% coupon trading at 95 (below par) will have a yield higher than 3%, because you're buying at a discount.

Price and Yield Move Inversely

This inverse relationship is fundamental to understanding bond markets.


What Is a Yield Curve?

A yield curve plots bond yields across different maturities at a single point in time. It shows the term structure of interest rates.

Example: US Treasury Yield Curve

US Treasury Yield Curve showing yields from 1Y to 30Y maturity
US Treasury yield curve showing a normal upward-sloping shape

Yield Curve Shapes

Shape
What It Looks Like
What It Signals

Normal

Upward sloping

Economic growth expected; investors demand higher yields for longer-term risk

Flat

Horizontal

Uncertainty; transition period

Inverted

Downward sloping

Potential recession; short-term rates exceed long-term rates

Steep

Sharply upward

Strong growth expectations or central bank easing

Market Indicator: An inverted yield curve (where 2Y yields exceed 10Y yields) has historically preceded recessions. It's one of the most watched economic indicators.


Why Are Government Bond Yields Important?

1. Risk-Free Rate Benchmark

Government bonds (especially US Treasuries and German Bunds) are used as the risk-free rate in financial models:

  • Discounting cash flows in DCF valuations

  • Pricing derivatives and other instruments

  • Setting base rates for corporate bond spreads

2. Credit Spread Reference

Corporate bonds are priced as a spread over government bonds:

Example: If the 10Y Treasury yields 4.2% and a corporate bond yields 5.7%, the credit spread is 150 basis points (1.5%).

3. Swap Spread Analysis

The difference between swap rates and government bond yields reveals market conditions:

Tenor
Swap Rate
Govt Bond Yield
Swap Spread

2Y

2.30%

2.19%

+11 bps

5Y

2.58%

2.50%

+8 bps

10Y

2.90%

2.90%

0 bps

4. Economic Indicator

Central banks and economists monitor yield curves to gauge:

  • Inflation expectations

  • Growth outlook

  • Monetary policy effectiveness


Spot Yields vs Forward-Starting Yields

Spot Yields

The yield on a bond starting today and maturing at a future date.

Example: The 10Y spot yield is the yield on a bond purchased today, maturing in 10 years.

Forward-Starting Yields

The implied yield on a bond starting at a future date.

Example: The "5Y yield, 2Y forward" is the market-implied yield for a 5-year bond starting in 2 years.

Forward-starting yields are useful for:

  • Planning future financing

  • Analyzing rate expectations

  • Pricing forward-starting instruments


Key Terminology

Term
Definition

Par Value

The face value of the bond (typically 100)

Coupon

The periodic interest payment

Maturity

When the principal is repaid

Duration

Sensitivity of price to yield changes

Basis Point (bp)

0.01% (1/100th of a percent)

Zero-Coupon Yield

Yield on a bond with no coupons (pure discount)

Benchmark Bond

The most liquid bond at a given maturity (e.g., "on-the-run" Treasuries)


Government Bonds in BlueGamma

BlueGamma provides government bond yields for multiple countries:

Country
Bond Name

🇺🇸 United States

US Treasuries

🇬🇧 United Kingdom

UK Gilts

🇩🇪 Germany

German Bunds

🇫🇷 France

French OATs

🇮🇹 Italy

Italian BTPs

🇪🇸 Spain

Spanish Bonos

🇯🇵 Japan

JGBs

🇦🇺 Australia

Australian Government Bonds

🇨🇦 Canada

Canadian Government Bonds

🇳🇱 Netherlands

Dutch DSLs

🇧🇷 Brazil

Brazilian Government Bonds

🇰🇷 South Korea

Korean Treasury Bonds

🇮🇳 India

Indian Government Bonds

🇮🇩 Indonesia

Indonesian Government Bonds

🇵🇱 Poland

Polish Government Bonds

🇬🇷 Greece

Greek Government Bonds

🇫🇮 Finland

Finnish Government Bonds

🇩🇰 Denmark

Danish Government Bonds


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